Preventative health
Issue three of three. UK Parliament + devolved responsibility.
James Murray, Secretary of State for Health and Social Care · day 9 in post (succeeded Wes Streeting, resigned 14 May 2026)
Issue three — the figure
preventable and treatable deaths in 2026 so far · estimated £19bn annual cost to NHS and economy.
live · ONS Avoidable Mortality 2024 · updated just now
The gap, in plain language
If the UK matched Finland's rate of 101 per 100k working-age, an estimated 45,300 of these deaths would not happen each year. Match Japan's 78, and ~65,700 would not happen.
How the UK compares
Avoidable deaths per 100k working-age
Lower is better. Source: OECD Health Statistics 2024.
↓ hover for methodology
What has been solved elsewhere
Finland — the North Karelia Project
case studyThe North Karelia Project (1972 onwards) demonstrated that population-wide prevention works. Cardiovascular mortality reduced over 80% since 1970s; overall avoidable mortality halved.
↓ hover for the full case
Labour's prior statements
What Labour promised — 8 commitments
Tier 1 · governing party“From sickness to prevention — one of three big shifts in our 10-year plan for the NHS.”
— Labour Manifesto 2024
IN PROGRESS
10-year plan published July 2025; prevention shift not yet operationalised.
“We will ban junk food advertising targeted at children.”
— Labour Manifesto 2024
PARTIALLY DELIVERED
Came into force 5 January 2026, with brand advertising exemption loophole.
“Ban the sale of high-caffeine energy drinks to under-16s.”
— Labour Manifesto 2024
IN PROGRESS
“Recruit 1,000 more GPs.”
— Labour Manifesto 2024
DELIVERED
NHS England Sept 2025: 1,897 WTE added since July 2024. Headline pledge met; methodology disputed.
“Dentistry Rescue Plan — 700,000 more urgent dental appointments and reform to the dental contract.”
— Labour Manifesto 2024
IN PROGRESS
“Halve the gap in healthy life expectancy between the areas of highest and lowest deprivation.”
— Labour Manifesto 2024
NOT DELIVERED
No measurable progress on gap closure to date.
“Opt-out smoking cessation interventions integrated into routine NHS care.”
— Labour Manifesto 2024
IN PROGRESS
“Tobacco and Vapes Bill — create the first smoke-free generation.”
— Labour Manifesto 2024
DELIVERED
Royal Assent 29 April 2026. Cross-party origin (Sunak 2023).
Notable absences
- · No commitment to ring-fenced prevention budget within NHS spending.
- · No specific commitment on alcohol harm — a major preventable mortality cause.
- · No statutory targets for reducing avoidable mortality rates.
- · No commitment on tackling obesity in adults (only children).
The standing record for this issue
Days in office
688
since 5 July 2024.
Days since this minister appointed
9
James Murray succeeded Wes Streeting on 14 May 2026.
Promise-to-delivery
2 / 8
of 8 tracked commitments delivered. 1 partial, 4 in progress, 1 not delivered.
Your move — write to your MP
1,247 letters sent this week · 23 MPs have responded
Write to your MP.
A letter to your MP on any of the three counts, pre-filled with the evidence above. Anonymous by default — your name is never published.
Letter preview · updates as you choose an issue
Dear your MP, I am writing about the 52,876 preventable British deaths so far in 2026 — and the 135,000 that will happen by year end. The UK rate is 50% above Finland's. Labour's 2024 manifesto pledged a shift "from sickness to prevention" as one of three big shifts in the NHS 10-year plan. 688 days in, that shift has not been operationalised. There is no ring-fenced prevention budget. No statutory targets for reducing avoidable mortality. I am asking you to press the new Health Secretary, James Murray, to publish a national prevention strategy with ring-fenced funding within 100 days. Yours sincerely, [your name]